US Tariff Reduction and Bangladesh’s RMG Exports and Regional Competitiveness
Where We Stand
• Rank & exposure: Bangladesh is the #3 apparel supplier to the U.S.
(~$7.3B), with higher U.S. dependence than China’s diversified base.
• Tariff snapshot (2025): Baseline 10% applies, with country overlays:
Bangladesh 20%, Vietnam 20%, India 50%, Indonesia 19%, China 30% (est.).
• Cost & capability drivers:
— Wages (USD/hr): Bangladesh ~$0.50 vs. China ~$5.30.
— Logistics (LPI 1–5): Bangladesh 2.6 vs. Vietnam 3.3, India 3.4, China 3.7.
— Productivity per worker (USD): Bangladesh ~$10.4k vs. China ~$23.8k.
What the Models Say
• Baseline (no tariff): Bangladesh hovers slightly above ~$7.4B in the U.S.
lane (2025–27).
• With tariffs (demand shift modeling):
— 2025 H2: Vietnam likely becomes #1 to the U.S.; Bangladesh and
Indonesia gain moderately; China and India lose share on cost pass-
through. Bangladesh’s 2025 U.S. total ≈ $8.97B (H1 actual + H2
modeled).
— 2026–27: Rankings hold: Vietnam ~$16.3B, China ~$11.1–11.5B,
Bangladesh ~$8.94–8.97B, India ~$5.04–5.06B, Indonesia ~$4.05–4.16B.
Implications for Bangladesh
>Faster lead times: Upgrade ports/ICDs, digitize customs, and tighten
schedule reliability.
>Productivity leap: Lean, skilling, line-balancing, MES/IoT, targeted
automation.
>Move up the value curve: MMF, sportswear, technical textiles; scale green
factories and traceability for price premiums.
>Diversify markets: Proactive access to EU/Canada/Asia to cushion U.S.
policy risk.
>Smart FDI: Eco-parks, design/R&D, advanced processing to import know-
how at speed.
Bottom Line
Tariffs are nudging—not overturning—the U.S. apparel hierarchy. Bangladesh can convert cost advantage + reliability gains + sustainability leadership into durable share by executing in parallel: faster logistics, higher productivity, greener & higher-value products, diversified markets, and smart FDI.
Full Article: Impact on RMG Export
